Renowned Economist Claudia Sahm Addresses Market Concerns Amid Sahm Rule Triggering

Sunday, August 4, 2024 ยท by Dante Moreira
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The triggering of the Sahm Rule, indicating a likely recession, has caused concern in the market. Claudia Sahm, the rule's inventor, has emphasized that while there are signs of weakness in the labor market, panic is unwarranted at this time.

Despite the rise in the unemployment rate and the triggering of the rule, key measures like household income, consumer spending, and business investment still look promising. However, experts like Rick Rieder have pointed to the need for an interest rate cut in September to address the slowing employment metrics.

While Sahm acknowledges the potential for a recession, she believes a holistic view, rather than relying solely on the Sahm Rule, is necessary for accurate economic predictions.

Written by Dante Moreira